MacroMarket monitoringKalshi KXCPICOREYOY-26NOV ↗

Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

Closes 2026-12-10 13:25 UTC16 outcomes

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Tracked outcomes

Above 2.0%
Above 2.1%
Above 2.2%
Above 2.3%
Above 2.4%
Above 2.5%
Above 2.6%
Above 2.7%
Above 2.8%
Above 2.9%
Above 3.0%
Above 3.1%
Above 3.2%
Above 3.3%
Above 3.4%
Above 3.5%

Exactly how this resolves

Measurement: CPI-U all items less food and energy, unadjusted 12-month % change for 2026-11 as first published by BLS
Window: 2026-11-01 04:00 UTC → 2026-12-10 13:30 UTC (America/New_York)
Resolution source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI news release) — BLS CPI news release for 2026-11: Table A, All items less food and energy, unadjusted 12-month change
Independent check: BLS release first paragraph (headline); Kalshi expiration value
Rounding: One decimal place as published by BLS
Exceptions: Kalshi closes the market shortly before the scheduled 08:30 ET release · A data delay from a federal government shutdown extends expiration to the sooner of the release or six months after the shutdown ends
Normalization: NORMALIZED · contract-norm/1

Venue rule (example outcome):

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.0% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.