What we predicted. What actually happened.
Records that are never mixed: contracts scored against the market, retrospective event outcomes, research calls, and Official PBE Picks (rain YES/NO, active since Oct 9, 2026), each tracked RIGHT, MISSED, PENDING or VOID.
Contracts scored
Accuracy across every resolved contract (lower is better). A scored contract is not a win, and nothing here is a trading return.
Results ledger
See every win and every miss
Members see the model’s selected outcome, the actual winner, the result and a direct link to the stored evidence, for every settled event and every frozen research call.
A high-probability forecast is not automatically an official YES/NO pick. A correct forecast is not necessarily a profitable trade. Unsettled events and model PASS decisions are never counted as wins. How scoring works →