Exactly how this resolves
- Measurement
- CPI-U all items, seasonally adjusted 1-month % change for 2026-11 as first published by BLS
- Window
- 2026-11-01 04:00 UTC → 2026-12-10 13:30 UTC (America/New_York)
- Resolution source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (CPI news release) — BLS CPI news release for 2026-11: Table A, All items, seasonally adjusted change from the previous month
- Independent check
- BLS release first paragraph (headline); Kalshi expiration value
- Rounding
- One decimal place as published by BLS
- Exceptions
- Kalshi closes the market shortly before the scheduled 08:30 ET release · A data delay from a federal government shutdown extends expiration to the sooner of the release or six months after the shutdown ends
- Normalization
- NORMALIZED · contract-norm/1
Venue rule (example outcome):
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
