Exactly how this resolves
- Measurement
- Change in the federal funds target range decided at this scheduled meeting
- Window
- 2027-03-17 18:00 UTC → 2027-03-17 20:00 UTC (America/New_York)
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board (FOMC policy statement) — FOMC statement and implementation note, 2027-03-17 (federalreserve.gov)
- Independent check
- FRED DFEDTARU / DFEDTARL federal funds target range (H.15)
- Rounding
- Basis points; >25 means 50 bps or more
- Exceptions
- If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled, "Fed maintains rate" resolves YES and all others NO · Outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one resolves YES · Venue rules text lost the ">" sign ("of 25bps"); outcome taken from the structured custom_strike and title, which agree
- Normalization
- NORMALIZED · contract-norm/1
Venue rule (example outcome):
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
