WeatherMarket monitoringKalshi KXHIGHMIA-26OCT03 ↗

Highest temperature in Miami on Oct 3, 2026?

Closes 2026-10-04 05:00 UTC6 outcomes

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Tracked outcomes

86° to 87°
85° or below
88° to 89°
90° to 91°
92° to 93°
94° or above

Exactly how this resolves

Station / series: CLIMIA — MIAMI INTL AIRPORT (KMIA, NWS MFL)
Measurement: Maximum temperature for the climate day 2026-10-03, 00:00-24:00 local standard time (UTC-5)
Window: 2026-10-03 05:00 UTC → 2026-10-04 05:00 UTC (America/New_York)
Resolution source: The Weather Company (weather.com/kalshi) — The Weather Company daily maximum temperature for CLIMIA (weather.com/kalshi)
Independent check: NWS Daily Climate Report CLIMIA (WFO MFL); NOAA RCC-ACIS USW00012839
Rounding: Whole degrees Fahrenheit as reported; preliminary values may differ by rounding/conversion
Exceptions: Preliminary data may be revised; the exchange may hold expiration until a non-erroneous revision, else last fair price
Normalization: NORMALIZED · contract-norm/1

Venue rule (example outcome):

If the maximum temperature recorded at Miami (CLIMIA) for Oct 3, 2026, is between 86-87° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.