How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026: PBE moves “5.17% or above” up to 75% from 58%
New Treasury data reached the model between 21:06 UTC and 20:48 UTC on Nov 13. Same model version, later data cutoff: here is exactly which inputs changed.
Data illustration generated by PropBetEdge Predictions from this story’s evidence
5.17% or above · pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 · 21:06 UTC → 20:48 UTC
How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
5.17% or above · WINDOW OPEN · OBSERVING
- UPDATE · Nov 13 21:00Z PBE 58% pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 · data cutoff Nov 12 23:59Z
- UPDATE · Nov 13 21:02Z PBE 75% pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 · data cutoff Nov 13 21:02Z
- UPDATE · Nov 13 21:08Z PBE 58% pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 · data cutoff Nov 12 23:59Z
- UPDATE · Nov 13 21:10Z PBE 75% pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 · data cutoff Nov 13 21:10Z
Quick read
- pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 moved “5.17% or above” from 58% to 75% (+17 pts).
- Later data cutoff: Nov 12 21:06Z → Nov 13 20:48Z; same model version, so the move reflects inputs, not a model change.
- Primary inputs changed: Daily volatility (EWMA), Latest official par yield, Period high/low so far, Business days left.
- The Kalshi mid captured with each snapshot went from 57% to 78%.
What changed in the inputs
Between the snapshot captured at Nov 12 21:06Z (data cutoff Nov 12 21:06Z) and the one at Nov 13 20:48Z (cutoff Nov 13 20:48Z), the same model version — pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 — moved “5.17% or above” from 58% to 75%. The model inputs that changed: Daily volatility (EWMA) from 5.7 bp to 5.7 bp; Latest official par yield from 5.1% to 5.15%; Period high/low so far from 5.1% to 5.15%; Business days left from 11 to 10.
| Input | Before | After | Primary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daily volatility (EWMA) | 5.7 bp | 5.7 bp | yes |
| last_published_date | 2026-11-12 | 2026-11-13 | — |
| Latest official par yield | 5.1% | 5.15% | yes |
| Period high/low so far | 5.1% | 5.15% | yes |
| Business days left | 11 | 10 | yes |
This page reports which stored inputs differ between two immutable forecasts. It does not claim why the underlying yields changed.
The forecast path
Data table
| Time (UTC) | Source | Value % |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 04:02Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 28 |
| Nov 1 04:02Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 10:06Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 1 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 1 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 00:02Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 01:02Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 02:02Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 03:12Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 10 03:16Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 03:44Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 03:48Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 10 04:06Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 10 04:08Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 06:20Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 08:22Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 08:30Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 08:50Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 10 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 10 09:22Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 09:46Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 10 12:10Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 10 14:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 10 14:06Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 10 14:08Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 10 14:12Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 10 14:14Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 10 14:16Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 10 14:22Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 10 14:42Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 10 14:46Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 10 14:48Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 10 14:52Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 10 14:56Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 10 14:58Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 10 15:02Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 15:10Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 10 15:12Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 15:14Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 15:18Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 15:20Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 15:22Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 15:24Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 15:44Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 15:52Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 15:54Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 15:56Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 15:58Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 16:08Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 16:10Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 16:12Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 10 16:34Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 16:36Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 16:38Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 10 16:42Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 16:44Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 16:46Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 16:50Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 10 16:52Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 10 16:58Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 10 17:02Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 10 17:10Z | Kalshi mid | 35 |
| Nov 10 17:14Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 10 17:18Z | Kalshi mid | 35 |
| Nov 10 17:30Z | Kalshi mid | 33 |
| Nov 10 17:36Z | Kalshi mid | 35 |
| Nov 10 17:38Z | Kalshi mid | 36 |
| Nov 10 17:44Z | Kalshi mid | 35 |
| Nov 10 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 10 18:10Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 10 18:16Z | Kalshi mid | 33 |
| Nov 10 18:20Z | Kalshi mid | 35 |
| Nov 10 18:26Z | Kalshi mid | 33 |
| Nov 10 18:36Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 10 18:38Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 10 18:42Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 18:44Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 10 18:46Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 18:48Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 18:50Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 18:52Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 18:56Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 10 18:58Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 10 19:02Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 19:04Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 19:10Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 10 19:20Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 19:24Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 10 19:30Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 10 19:36Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 10 19:44Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 19:46Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 19:56Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 20:02Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 10 20:10Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 20:16Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 20:42Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 20:50Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 24 |
| Nov 10 20:52Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 10 20:54Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 24 |
| Nov 10 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 21:08Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 10 21:10Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 24 |
| Nov 10 21:10Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 21:12Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 21:16Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 10 21:18Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 24 |
| Nov 10 21:22Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 21:28Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 10 21:34Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 10 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 22:18Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 22:20Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 22:22Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 22:26Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 22:48Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 10 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 10 23:10Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 10 23:12Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 00:02Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 00:04Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 11 00:06Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 11 00:26Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 00:40Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 00:46Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 00:48Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 01:02Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 01:06Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 01:08Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 01:10Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 11 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 02:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 02:26Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 02:56Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 03:02Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 03:04Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 03:12Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 04:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 04:42Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 05:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 05:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 05:14Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 05:38Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 06:04Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 06:12Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 06:16Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 06:56Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 07:02Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 07:04Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 07:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 07:56Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 08:10Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 08:16Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 08:26Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 09:04Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 09:12Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 10:10Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 10:20Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 10:30Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 11:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 11:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 12:08Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 12:34Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 11 12:44Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 12:50Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 13:02Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 11 13:04Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 13:08Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 13:14Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 11 13:16Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 11 13:32Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 13:40Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 13:46Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 13:50Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 13:56Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 14:06Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 14:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 14:10Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 14:44Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 14:46Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 14:54Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 15:02Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 15:04Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 15:06Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 15:08Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 15:48Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 16:02Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 16:06Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 16:08Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 16:12Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 17:08Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 17:18Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 17:26Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 18:06Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 18:08Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 18:40Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 19:06Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 19:08Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 19:10Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 19:12Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 19:14Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 11 19:20Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 19:24Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 19:30Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 19:32Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 11 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 20:02Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 20:08Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 11 20:38Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 20:50Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 11 21:22Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 21:30Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 11 21:54Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 22:02Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 22:04Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 11 22:16Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 22:22Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 11 23:04Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 11 23:08Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 23:10Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 23:20Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 11 23:22Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 11 23:56Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 11 23:58Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 00:02Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 00:12Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 00:16Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 00:20Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 00:22Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 00:50Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 00:54Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 00:58Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 01:02Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 01:06Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 01:32Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 01:34Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 01:36Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 01:48Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 01:56Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 01:58Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 02:02Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 02:08Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 02:10Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 02:18Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 03:06Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 03:22Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 03:28Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 03:34Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 03:46Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 03:48Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 04:26Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 06:06Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 06:16Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 06:18Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 06:28Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 06:30Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 12 06:32Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 06:42Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 12 06:46Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 06:48Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 06:50Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 07:04Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 07:06Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 07:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 07:22Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 07:24Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 12 07:26Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 10:02Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 10:04Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 10:28Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 10:46Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 10:48Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 11:14Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 11:22Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 11:46Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 11:58Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 12:02Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 12:04Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 12:06Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 12:24Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 12:36Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 12 13:02Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 13:04Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 12 13:16Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 13:20Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 13:38Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 13:42Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 12 13:44Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 13:46Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 12 13:48Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 12 13:50Z | Kalshi mid | 34 |
| Nov 12 13:56Z | Kalshi mid | 33 |
| Nov 12 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 33 |
| Nov 12 14:04Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 12 14:06Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 12 14:20Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 12 14:22Z | Kalshi mid | 31 |
| Nov 12 14:26Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 14:30Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 14:32Z | Kalshi mid | 29 |
| Nov 12 14:34Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 12 14:38Z | Kalshi mid | 32 |
| Nov 12 14:56Z | Kalshi mid | 35 |
| Nov 12 14:58Z | Kalshi mid | 36 |
| Nov 12 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 38 |
| Nov 12 15:02Z | Kalshi mid | 36 |
| Nov 12 15:04Z | Kalshi mid | 38 |
| Nov 12 15:06Z | Kalshi mid | 39 |
| Nov 12 15:10Z | Kalshi mid | 39 |
| Nov 12 15:14Z | Kalshi mid | 37 |
| Nov 12 15:16Z | Kalshi mid | 40 |
| Nov 12 15:36Z | Kalshi mid | 41 |
| Nov 12 15:40Z | Kalshi mid | 43 |
| Nov 12 15:42Z | Kalshi mid | 42 |
| Nov 12 15:46Z | Kalshi mid | 42 |
| Nov 12 15:50Z | Kalshi mid | 38 |
| Nov 12 15:56Z | Kalshi mid | 38 |
| Nov 12 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 37 |
| Nov 12 16:06Z | Kalshi mid | 38 |
| Nov 12 16:10Z | Kalshi mid | 39 |
| Nov 12 16:14Z | Kalshi mid | 40 |
| Nov 12 16:16Z | Kalshi mid | 41 |
| Nov 12 16:26Z | Kalshi mid | 41 |
| Nov 12 16:28Z | Kalshi mid | 40 |
| Nov 12 16:36Z | Kalshi mid | 41 |
| Nov 12 16:42Z | Kalshi mid | 42 |
| Nov 12 16:46Z | Kalshi mid | 42 |
| Nov 12 16:50Z | Kalshi mid | 46 |
| Nov 12 16:54Z | Kalshi mid | 45 |
| Nov 12 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 46 |
| Nov 12 17:02Z | Kalshi mid | 47 |
| Nov 12 17:06Z | Kalshi mid | 47 |
| Nov 12 17:08Z | Kalshi mid | 49 |
| Nov 12 17:10Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 12 17:12Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 12 17:16Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 12 17:26Z | Kalshi mid | 51 |
| Nov 12 17:36Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 12 17:40Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 12 17:42Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 12 17:46Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 12 17:50Z | Kalshi mid | 51 |
| Nov 12 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 12 18:06Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 12 18:08Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 12 18:10Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 12 18:12Z | Kalshi mid | 54 |
| Nov 12 18:16Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 12 18:30Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 18:34Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 12 18:36Z | Kalshi mid | 54 |
| Nov 12 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 54 |
| Nov 12 19:06Z | Kalshi mid | 58 |
| Nov 12 19:16Z | Kalshi mid | 59 |
| Nov 12 19:36Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 19:56Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 20:04Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 12 20:26Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 20:40Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 20:42Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 20:52Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 58 |
| Nov 12 20:52Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 20:58Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 24 |
| Nov 12 20:58Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 58 |
| Nov 12 21:02Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 58 |
| Nov 12 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 21:04Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 24 |
| Nov 12 21:06Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 58 |
| Nov 12 21:08Z | Kalshi mid | 59 |
| Nov 12 21:12Z | Kalshi mid | 58 |
| Nov 12 21:14Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 21:16Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 12 21:34Z | Kalshi mid | 59 |
| Nov 12 21:52Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 21:54Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 12 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 12 22:12Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 12 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 12 23:40Z | Kalshi mid | 54 |
| Nov 13 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 13 00:16Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 00:18Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 13 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 13 02:34Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 03:02Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 13 03:04Z | Kalshi mid | 51 |
| Nov 13 03:46Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 13 04:06Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 04:16Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 52 |
| Nov 13 05:12Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 06:02Z | Kalshi mid | 53 |
| Nov 13 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 55 |
| Nov 13 07:10Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 07:46Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 07:58Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 10:02Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 11:48Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 13 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 57 |
| Nov 13 12:36Z | Kalshi mid | 56 |
| Nov 13 12:38Z | Kalshi mid | 59 |
| Nov 13 12:40Z | Kalshi mid | 59 |
| Nov 13 12:48Z | Kalshi mid | 60 |
| Nov 13 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 13:14Z | Kalshi mid | 69 |
| Nov 13 14:06Z | Kalshi mid | 69 |
| Nov 13 14:10Z | Kalshi mid | 71 |
| Nov 13 14:16Z | Kalshi mid | 72 |
| Nov 13 14:20Z | Kalshi mid | 77 |
| Nov 13 14:26Z | Kalshi mid | 73 |
| Nov 13 14:30Z | Kalshi mid | 76 |
| Nov 13 14:40Z | Kalshi mid | 77 |
| Nov 13 14:46Z | Kalshi mid | 78 |
| Nov 13 14:50Z | Kalshi mid | 79 |
| Nov 13 14:56Z | Kalshi mid | 79 |
| Nov 13 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 79 |
| Nov 13 15:04Z | Kalshi mid | 77 |
| Nov 13 15:10Z | Kalshi mid | 78 |
| Nov 13 15:14Z | Kalshi mid | 77 |
| Nov 13 15:16Z | Kalshi mid | 71 |
| Nov 13 15:26Z | Kalshi mid | 71 |
| Nov 13 15:30Z | Kalshi mid | 69 |
| Nov 13 15:40Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 15:46Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 15:56Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 16:06Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 16:10Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 16:26Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 17:06Z | Kalshi mid | 66 |
| Nov 13 17:10Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 17:16Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 17:30Z | Kalshi mid | 66 |
| Nov 13 17:32Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 17:40Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 18:06Z | Kalshi mid | 66 |
| Nov 13 18:10Z | Kalshi mid | 67 |
| Nov 13 18:12Z | Kalshi mid | 68 |
| Nov 13 18:16Z | Kalshi mid | 69 |
| Nov 13 18:26Z | Kalshi mid | 69 |
| Nov 13 18:30Z | Kalshi mid | 70 |
| Nov 13 18:36Z | Kalshi mid | 70 |
| Nov 13 18:50Z | Kalshi mid | 71 |
| Nov 13 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 69 |
| Nov 13 19:02Z | Kalshi mid | 70 |
| Nov 13 19:04Z | Kalshi mid | 70 |
| Nov 13 19:06Z | Kalshi mid | 71 |
| Nov 13 19:10Z | Kalshi mid | 71 |
| Nov 13 19:12Z | Kalshi mid | 72 |
| Nov 13 19:20Z | Kalshi mid | 75 |
| Nov 13 19:26Z | Kalshi mid | 76 |
| Nov 13 19:28Z | Kalshi mid | 76 |
| Nov 13 19:34Z | Kalshi mid | 75 |
| Nov 13 19:40Z | Kalshi mid | 75 |
| Nov 13 19:52Z | Kalshi mid | 74 |
| Nov 13 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 74 |
| Nov 13 20:08Z | Kalshi mid | 75 |
| Nov 13 20:16Z | Kalshi mid | 75 |
| Nov 13 20:40Z | Kalshi mid | 76 |
| Nov 13 20:42Z | Kalshi mid | 77 |
| Nov 13 20:46Z | Kalshi mid | 78 |
| Nov 13 20:48Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 75 |
| Nov 2 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 00:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 2 00:12Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 2 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 2 01:12Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 02:52Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 05:18Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 07:58Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 08:02Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 12:40Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 2 13:04Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 2 13:40Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 2 13:44Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 2 13:50Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 2 13:54Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 2 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 2 14:04Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 2 14:44Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 14:50Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 2 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 15:20Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 2 15:24Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 15:32Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 2 15:40Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 2 15:44Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 2 15:54Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 2 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 2 16:04Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 2 16:30Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 16:40Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 2 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 2 17:04Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 2 17:14Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 2 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 2 18:04Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 2 18:12Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 2 18:48Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 2 18:50Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 19:04Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 2 19:20Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 19:42Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 19:50Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 2 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 2 20:10Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 20:18Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 2 20:48Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 2 20:50Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 28 |
| Nov 2 20:52Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 2 20:54Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 2 20:56Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 28 |
| Nov 2 20:58Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 2 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 2 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 00:16Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 00:46Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 02:12Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 02:14Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 03:34Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 05:02Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 06:48Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 07:24Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 08:02Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 08:12Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 08:22Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 09:22Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 10:16Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 11:08Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 11:32Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 11:58Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 12:02Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 12:22Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 12:36Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 13:04Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 13:08Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 13:28Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 13:34Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 13:38Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 13:40Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 3 13:44Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 13:50Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 3 13:54Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 3 14:04Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 14:10Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 14:12Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 3 14:20Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 3 14:30Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 3 14:34Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 3 14:36Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 3 14:40Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 3 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 3 15:04Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 3 15:08Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 3 15:14Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 15:20Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 15:22Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 15:24Z | Kalshi mid | 30 |
| Nov 3 15:40Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 15:54Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 16:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 16:04Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 3 16:10Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 3 16:46Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 3 16:58Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 3 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 3 17:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 17:06Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 18:08Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 18:36Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 19:18Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 3 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 3 20:16Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 20:48Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 3 20:54Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 3 20:56Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 3 20:58Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 3 21:00Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 3 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 21:02Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 3 21:04Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 3 21:12Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 21 |
| Nov 3 21:14Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 3 21:18Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 22:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 3 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 23:14Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 3 23:38Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 4 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 4 00:02Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 12:14Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 4 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 28 |
| Nov 4 13:36Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 4 13:42Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 4 13:46Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 4 13:52Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 4 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 4 14:02Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 4 14:12Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 4 14:38Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 4 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 4 15:02Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 4 15:06Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 4 15:12Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 4 15:18Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 4 15:22Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 4 15:28Z | Kalshi mid | 25 |
| Nov 4 15:32Z | Kalshi mid | 27 |
| Nov 4 15:42Z | Kalshi mid | 26 |
| Nov 4 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 24 |
| Nov 4 16:02Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 4 16:06Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 4 16:12Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 4 16:22Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 16:52Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 17:22Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 17:52Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 4 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 18:26Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 19:02Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 19:04Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 19:08Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 4 19:10Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 19:12Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 19:16Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 19:30Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 19:36Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 4 19:38Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 19:40Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 4 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 20:02Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 20:04Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 20:12Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 4 20:20Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 4 20:30Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 20:50Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 16 |
| Nov 4 20:52Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 4 20:58Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 16 |
| Nov 4 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 21:08Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 26 |
| Nov 4 21:10Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 16 |
| Nov 4 21:10Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 21:28Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 4 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 4 22:14Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 22:16Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 4 22:24Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 4 22:48Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 4 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 4 23:14Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 00:30Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 00:34Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 5 00:38Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 00:40Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 00:46Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 5 00:50Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 5 00:54Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 22 |
| Nov 5 01:02Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 01:06Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 01:22Z | Kalshi mid | 23 |
| Nov 5 01:24Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 01:36Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 01:40Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 02:12Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 03:52Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 04:08Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 04:10Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 05:38Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 05:50Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 10:02Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 10:06Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 11:52Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 12:10Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 13:14Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 13:50Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 14:28Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 14:30Z | Kalshi mid | 21 |
| Nov 5 14:38Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 14:46Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 5 14:50Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 5 14:54Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 14:56Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 15:04Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 15:10Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 15:14Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 15:20Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 15:22Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 15:24Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 15:32Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 15:34Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 15:40Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 5 15:44Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 15:46Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 15:48Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 15:50Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 16:08Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 16:18Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 16:20Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 16:22Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 16:36Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 16:54Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 17:06Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 17:10Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 17:16Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 17:24Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 17:46Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 18:04Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 18:16Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 18:34Z | Kalshi mid | 12 |
| Nov 5 18:40Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 18:46Z | Kalshi mid | 12 |
| Nov 5 18:58Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 19:04Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 19:24Z | Kalshi mid | 12 |
| Nov 5 19:36Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 19:46Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 20:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 20:20Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 20:28Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 5 20:30Z | Kalshi mid | 12 |
| Nov 5 20:50Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 5 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 21:02Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 16 |
| Nov 5 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 5 21:04Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 5 21:10Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 21:42Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 22:02Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 22:18Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 22:20Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 5 22:22Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 22:24Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 5 22:26Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 5 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 5 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 5 23:20Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 00:02Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 00:12Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 00:18Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 00:48Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 01:08Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 01:24Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 01:56Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 02:02Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 02:04Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 02:10Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 03:14Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 03:16Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 03:26Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 05:06Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 05:18Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 05:22Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 06:08Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 07:08Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 07:16Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 09:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 10:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 10:14Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 10:16Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 6 10:18Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 10:42Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 11:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 11:16Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 6 11:34Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 6 11:40Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 12:08Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 12:12Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 12:40Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 6 12:46Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 12:48Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 12:54Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 13:56Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 6 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 19 |
| Nov 6 14:04Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 14:44Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 15:10Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 15:12Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 6 15:14Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 15:54Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 16:10Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 16:26Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 6 17:38Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 17:40Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 17:54Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 18:18Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 18:20Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 18:30Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 19:16Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 19:20Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 20:08Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 6 20:10Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 20:16Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 20:44Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 20:52Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 9 |
| Nov 6 20:58Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 6 21:00Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 9 |
| Nov 6 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 6 21:04Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 6 21:08Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 9 |
| Nov 6 21:10Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 21:14Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 6 21:16Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 9 |
| Nov 6 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 6 22:04Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 22:16Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 6 22:34Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 22:58Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 6 23:04Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 6 23:28Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 6 23:32Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 06:24Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 7 08:08Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 7 08:10Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 7 08:14Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 08:18Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 7 08:42Z | Kalshi mid | 20 |
| Nov 7 08:46Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 11:04Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 12:08Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 12:12Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 7 12:18Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 12:58Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 13:44Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 15:44Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 16:52Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 18:08Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 19:30Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 20:08Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 21:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 21:26Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 22:22Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 7 23:26Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 00:22Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 01:18Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 02:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 03:48Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 04:12Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 10:20Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 12:26Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 13:30Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 14:06Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 15:40Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 16:02Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 17:06Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 18:10Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 8 18:16Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 19:36Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 20:50Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 20:56Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 8 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 21:10Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 18 |
| Nov 8 22:06Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 8 22:30Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 8 22:32Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 8 22:34Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 8 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 8 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 00:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 01:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 01:24Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 01:54Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 01:58Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 02:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 02:32Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 02:36Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 02:56Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 03:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 04:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 05:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 05:04Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 06:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 06:22Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 07:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 07:12Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 07:20Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 08:00Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 08:32Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 08:34Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 09:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 09:02Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 10:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 11:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 11:18Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 12:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 12:12Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 12:40Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 9 13:00Z | Kalshi mid | 17 |
| Nov 9 13:08Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 13:10Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 13:16Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 13:28Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 14:00Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 14:04Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 14:08Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 14:10Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 14:42Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 14:46Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 14:50Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 15:00Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 15:06Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 15:56Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 15:58Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 16:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 16:04Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 16:06Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 16:14Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 16:30Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 16:42Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 17:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 17:06Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 17:12Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 17:30Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 17:36Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 18:00Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 18:04Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 18:06Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 18:18Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 19:00Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 19:06Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 19:50Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 19:52Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 20:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 20:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 20:36Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 20:44Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 20:52Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 9 20:54Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 9 |
| Nov 9 20:58Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 9 21:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 21:04Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 9 |
| Nov 9 21:10Z | PBE pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 | 10 |
| Nov 9 22:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 22:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 22:34Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 22:36Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 22:52Z | Kalshi mid | 15 |
| Nov 9 23:00Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 23:02Z | Kalshi mid | 14 |
| Nov 9 23:04Z | Kalshi mid | 13 |
| Nov 9 23:44Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
| Nov 9 23:48Z | Kalshi mid | 16 |
The Kalshi mid captured with each snapshot went from 57% to 78%.
The two snapshots
| Earlier | Later | |
|---|---|---|
| Captured | Nov 12 21:06Z | Nov 13 20:48Z |
| Data cutoff | Nov 12 21:06Z | Nov 13 20:48Z |
| Guidance runs | — | — |
| PBE | 58% | 75% |
| Market at capture | 57% | 78% |
Evidence & method
What this story is based on. Every value above was read from these immutable records.
- Model
- pbe-rates-path@1.0.0 · RESEARCH
- Snapshot
- b6d37484-50d0-4fef-9138-03c20179f578
- Compared with
- e0d7b5c1-89a5-4423-aa24-8a3e6ec680cb
- Captured
- Nov 13 20:48Z
- Data cutoff
- Nov 13 20:48Z
- Market observation
- 78% · captured with the snapshot
- Source families
- U.S. Department of the Treasury · PBE calibration rates-path-v1 (standardized daily changes 1962-2017)
- Resolves on
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates) — Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate, 10-year tenor, first published value per business day
- Independent check
- FRED DGS10 (H.15 constant maturity, same Treasury curve)
- Measurement
- Daily par yield for the 10-year tenor on each business day 2026-11-01..2026-11-30; intraday values not considered
- Rounding
- Yields as published (two decimals)
- Exceptions
- The market may expire early once the threshold is met · First published value per business day governs unless the Exchange finds a material error
- Random-walk drift assumption; no macro-release calendar effects yet
- Contracts already decided by the published path are not forecast
Rates · Treasury yield paths — inputs: Official Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve (settlement source); EWMA volatility x bootstrapped historical daily changes. This model on the research board →
Market prices are a benchmark only and never enter a PropBetEdge model. Research-stage probabilities; not advice.