PREDICTION INTELLIGENCE · RATES
Rates
Analysis written from PropBetEdge's immutable forecast archive — every number traceable to a stored snapshot, every story linked to its live event and, once settled, its score.
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026: PBE moves “5.02% or below” down to 45% from 55%
New Treasury data reached the model between 20:14 UTC and 20:09 UTC on Oct 9. Same model version, later data cutoff: here is exactly which inputs changed.
55%→45%
Oct 9, 2026 · data as of Oct 9 20:09Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026: PBE moves “5.07% or above” up to 68% from 58%
New Treasury data reached the model between 20:14 UTC and 20:09 UTC on Oct 9. Same model version, later data cutoff: here is exactly which inputs changed.
58%→68%
Oct 9, 2026 · data as of Oct 9 20:09Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026: PBE moves “5.17% or below” down to 60% from 71%New Treasury data reached the model between 20:14 UTC and 20:09 UTC on Oct 9. Same model version, later data cutoff: here is exactly which inputs changed.
71%→60%
Oct 9, 2026 · data as of Oct 9 20:09Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026: PBE moves “4.97% or below” down to 69% from 82%
82%→69%
Oct 9, 2026 · data as of Oct 9 20:09Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026: PBE moves “5.21% or below” up to 42% from 19%
19%→42%
Oct 8, 2026 · data as of Oct 8 20:14Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026: PBE moves “5.32% or above” down to 3% from 34%
34%→3%
Oct 8, 2026 · data as of Oct 8 20:14Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026: PBE moves “5.59% or below” up to 83% from 52%
52%→83%
Oct 8, 2026 · data as of Oct 8 20:14Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026: PBE moves “5.59% or below” down to 52% from 67%
67%→52%
Oct 7, 2026 · data as of Oct 7 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026: PBE moves “5.23% or below” down to 29% from 45%
45%→29%
Oct 7, 2026 · data as of Oct 7 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026: PBE moves “5.1% or below” up to 70% from 59%
59%→70%
Oct 6, 2026 · data as of Oct 6 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026: PBE moves “5.23% or below” up to 75% from 63%
63%→75%
Oct 6, 2026 · data as of Oct 6 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026: PBE moves “5.09% or above” down to 67% from 79%
79%→67%
Oct 6, 2026 · data as of Oct 6 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026: PBE moves “5.32% or above” down to 69% from 85%
85%→69%
Oct 6, 2026 · data as of Oct 6 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026: PBE moves “5.26% or below” up to 65% from 46%
46%→65%
Oct 6, 2026 · data as of Oct 6 19:54Z
RATES · FORECAST CHANGE
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 9, 2026: PBE moves “5.32% or above” down to 37% from 68%
68%→37%
Oct 6, 2026 · data as of Oct 6 19:54Z
PBE model69%Market97%Divergence−28 pts
Oct 3, 2026 · data as of Oct 2 23:59Z